[Deep Dive] 2026.08.19 NVIDIA (NVDA) +17% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

NVDA closed at 217.56, -0.99% on the day and +16.8% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-19

🌐 한국어판 보기

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $217.56, down 0.99% on the day. Year-to-date return is +16.8%, sitting at 74% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-08-26 (in 6 days).

Close
$217.56
-0.99% · YTD +16.8%
Market Cap
$5,269.52B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
16.9x
PER 33.0x
52-wk Range
74%
High $236.54 · Low $164.07

🔔 Earnings land on 2026-08-26 — D-6. Volatility typically picks up around the print.

🔍 At a Glance

NVIDIA remains the linchpin of the AI infrastructure buildout, posting 85.2% quarterly revenue growth, a 64.0% operating margin, and a 114.3% ROE that few companies anywhere can match—numbers that justify a forward PER of just 16.9 and a PEG of 0.6 versus its trailing PER of 33.0. The bear case is valuation and crowding risk: PSR of 20.8, PBR of 33.5, and an RSI of 71.9 near overbought territory show a stock priced for perfection, sitting 11.6% above its 200-day average with competitive threats now openly debated by prominent investors.

🏢 How It Makes Money

NVIDIA’s Compute & Networking segment—data center GPUs, AI accelerators, and networking gear—is the profit engine behind the current growth surge, serving cloud providers, OEMs, and system integrators racing to build AI infrastructure. Its smaller Graphics segment (GeForce, Quadro/RTX) still anchors gaming and professional visualization, but the AI data center business now drives the outsized margins and growth investors are pricing in.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $44.06B $21.64B $18.77B 49.1%
25Q3 $46.74B $28.44B $26.42B 60.8%
25Q4 $57.01B $36.01B $31.91B 63.2%
26Q1 $68.13B $44.30B $42.96B 65.0%
26Q2 $81.61B $53.54B $58.32B 65.6%

Latest-quarter revenue up +85.2% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 33.0x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 16.9x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 20.8x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 33.5x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 0.6x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 31.9x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
NVIDIA Corporation $5,269.52B 33.3x 16.9x 20.8x
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $761.42B 119.0x 30.2x 18.4x
Broadcom Inc. $1,724.53B 60.4x 18.6x 22.9x
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur $2,137.29B 30.9x 18.9x 0.5x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $302.83
  • Target high / low: $500.00 / $180.00
  • Implied upside: +39.2%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.3/5)
  • Analysts covering: 58
  • Next earnings: 2026-08-26
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 71.9 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA +4.4% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +11.6% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.8x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The common thread across headlines—valuation debates, Bank of America’s bullish stance, and Michael Burry flagging “serious competition”—reflects a market wrestling with whether NVIDIA’s premium multiple still has room given decelerating share gains from rivals. The CEO stock purchase at an NVIDIA-backed chip company suggests insiders see continued AI capex strength, though competitive dynamics are worth confirming ahead of the August earnings date, as any share loss narrative could weigh on the premium valuation embedded in NVIDIA’s current PSR and PBR levels.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings report on 2026-08-26 is the key catalyst—another beat like the recent 85.2% revenue growth would support the current strong_buy consensus (average target 302.83, range 180-500). Watch for signs of decelerating hyperscaler capex, any China-related export developments, and whether the RSI cooling from 71.9 signals near-term consolidation. A pullback toward the MA60 (+4.4%) could offer a healthier entry setup if fundamentals hold.

Next earnings on 2026-08-26 (in 6 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on NVIDIA · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-20 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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