[Deep Dive] 2026.08.03 NVIDIA (NVDA) +11% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

NVDA closed at 206.64, +2.93% on the day and +10.9% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-03

🌐 한국어판 보기

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $206.64, up 2.93% on the day. Year-to-date return is +10.9%, sitting at 59% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-08-26 (in 22 days).

Close
$206.64
+2.93% · YTD +10.9%
Market Cap
$5,005.03B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
16.0x
PER 31.4x
52-wk Range
59%
High $236.54 · Low $164.07

🔍 At a Glance

NVIDIA closed at 206.64, up 2.93% on the day and 10.9% YTD, with revenue growing 85.2% year-over-year last quarter and a 64.0% operating margin that underscores its dominance in AI data-center compute. Bulls point to a forward PE of just 16.0 against a PEG of 0.6 as evidence growth is undervalued, while bears note trailing multiples (PER 31.4, PSR 19.7, PBR 31.8) remain rich and the stock has actually slipped 1.1% over three months despite the AI narrative.

🏢 How It Makes Money

NVIDIA’s Compute & Networking segment—data-center accelerators, AI software, and networking platforms—is the core profit engine, supplemented by automotive and autonomous-vehicle software. The Graphics segment, built on GeForce and Quadro/RTX GPUs, still serves gaming, PCs, and professional visualization, but with TTM revenue of $253.49B and ROE of 114.3%, the AI infrastructure buildout is clearly the dominant driver of both growth and profitability.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $44.06B $21.64B $18.77B 49.1%
25Q3 $46.74B $28.44B $26.42B 60.8%
25Q4 $57.01B $36.01B $31.91B 63.2%
26Q1 $68.13B $44.30B $42.96B 65.0%
26Q2 $81.61B $53.54B $58.32B 65.6%

Latest-quarter revenue up +85.2% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 31.4x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 16.0x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 19.7x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 31.8x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 0.6x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 29.1x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
NVIDIA Corporation $5,005.03B 31.7x 16.0x 19.7x
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $790.25B 161.5x 34.8x 21.1x
Broadcom Inc. $1,866.07B 65.5x 20.1x 24.7x
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur $2,106.28B 35.7x 18.8x 0.5x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $302.83
  • Target high / low: $500.00 / $180.00
  • Implied upside: +46.5%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.3/5)
  • Analysts covering: 58
  • Next earnings: 2026-08-26
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 45.7 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -0.9% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +7.0% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 1.0x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The headlines share a common thread: nervousness about data-center demand durability and pricing power, from the WSJ’s report-driven slump to broader chip sector sell-off coverage. The “Nvidia Tax” narrative—suggesting hyperscalers like Alphabet are better insulated from NVIDIA’s pricing than peers—matters most, since it hints at customer pushback or diversification that could eventually pressure margins or unit volumes, a dynamic worth confirming in the upcoming earnings commentary.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings report on 2026-08-26 will be the key test of whether 85%-plus growth can persist against tougher comparisons. With RSI at 45.7 and price sitting 0.9% below the 60-day average but 7.0% above the 200-day, the stock is in a neutral technical zone—watch for a break above MA60 to confirm momentum, or a slide toward the 52-week lower range (currently at 59% of band) if data-center demand headlines sour sentiment. Analyst targets range widely from 180.00 to 500.00, reflecting real dispersion in AI-spending forecasts.

Next earnings on 2026-08-26 (in 22 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on NVIDIA · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-04 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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