[Deep Dive] 2026.07.30 Palantir Technologies (PLTR) -31% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

PLTR closed at 122.26, -0.60% on the day and -31.2% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-07-30

🌐 한국어판 보기

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) closed at $122.26, down 0.60% on the day. Year-to-date return is -31.2%, sitting at 16% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-08-03 (in 3 days).

Close
$122.26
-0.60% · YTD -31.2%
Market Cap
$293.10B
Software – Infrastructure
Forward P/E
58.4x
PER 128.5x
52-wk Range
16%
High $207.52 · Low $106.37

🔔 Earnings land on 2026-08-03D-3. Volatility typically picks up around the print.

🔍 At a Glance

Palantir keeps posting eye-popping numbers — 84.7% quarterly revenue growth, a 38.1% operating margin, and 32.6% ROE — proof its Gotham and Foundry platforms are winning real budget dollars, not just hype. Yet at 128.5x trailing earnings, 58.4x forward earnings, and 56.1x sales, the stock demands near-flawless execution, and a 31.2% YTD decline (now 20.2% below its 200-day average) shows the market is already questioning whether growth can outrun that valuation.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Palantir sells software platforms — Gotham for defense and intelligence customers, Foundry as a data operating system for commercial and government enterprises — helping organizations integrate scattered data sources into a single operational picture for real-time decision-making. Its revenue mix spans government contracts (historically the core) and an expanding commercial book, the latter being the segment investors watch most closely for durable growth.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q1 $884M $176M $214M 19.9%
25Q2 $1.00B $269M $327M 26.8%
25Q3 $1.18B $393M $476M 33.3%
25Q4 $1.41B $575M $609M 40.9%
26Q1 $1.63B $754M $871M 46.2%

Latest-quarter revenue up +84.7% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 128.5x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 58.4x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 56.1x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 39.7x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 1.8x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 142.3x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Palantir Technologies Inc. $293.10B 137.4x 58.4x 56.1x
Snowflake Inc. $103.32B 110.7x 20.5x
Datadog, Inc. $95.60B 671.4x 93.0x 26.0x
ServiceNow, Inc. $113.80B 68.8x 22.0x 7.7x
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. $188.60B 118.5x 37.0x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $182.20
  • Target high / low: $255.00 / $70.00
  • Implied upside: +49.0%
  • Rating: Buy (1.9/5)
  • Analysts covering: 27
  • Next earnings: 2026-08-03
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 44.6 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -7.1% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA -20.2% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day below 200-day (bearish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.8x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The common thread across these headlines is valuation anxiety ahead of earnings — commentators are split between “still attractive” and “priced too rich,” reflecting the tension between Palantir’s near-98 growth score and its rock-bottom 2.41 value score. This debate matters because any earnings miss or bookings slowdown could trigger outsized multiple compression, while confirmation of stabilizing commercial demand may support a rebound toward analyst targets.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings report, due August 3, 2026, is the key catalyst — investors will be watching whether commercial bookings stabilize and whether 84.7%-type growth can persist without margin compression. Bull case: continued triple-digit government/commercial deal wins keep growth near current levels, supporting the 182.20 average target (up to 255.00). Bear case: any deceleration, given RSI of 44.6 and a low 16% position in the 52-week range, could reignite the multiple-compression concerns that already drove the 27.9% six-month slide, especially with the stock priced for perfection.

Next earnings on 2026-08-03 (in 3 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Palantir Technologies · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-07-31 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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