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[Deep Dive] 2026.07.17 Micron Technology (MU) +198% YTD — Fundamentals & Valuation

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-07-17

🌐 한국어판 보기

Micron Technology (MU) closed at $848.95, down 0.50% on the day. Year-to-date return is +197.6%, sitting at 65% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-09-24 (in 67 days).

Close
$848.95
-0.50% · YTD +197.6%
Market Cap
$958.80B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
5.6x
PER 19.0x
52-wk Range
65%
High $1,255.00 · Low $103.38

🔍 At a Glance

Micron has been one of 2025’s standout stories, up a staggering 210.9% YTD and 157.2% over six months, riding surging demand for HBM and data-center memory tied to the AI buildout — reflected in a jaw-dropping +345.7% quarterly revenue growth and 65.7% TTM operating margins. But the bear case is right there in the tape: shares are down 13.1% over the past month, RSI sits at a cool 28.6 signaling oversold momentum, and headlines are asking whether Micron has already peaked after this parabolic run.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Micron designs and manufactures memory and storage — DRAM, NAND, high-bandwidth memory, and SSDs — sold through four units: Cloud Memory, Core Data Center, Mobile and Client, and Automotive and Embedded. Its fortunes are tightly linked to memory pricing cycles and, increasingly, to AI infrastructure spend, as HBM and data-center demand now drive outsized growth versus legacy mobile and auto memory.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $9.30B $2.17B $1.89B 23.3%
25Q3 $11.31B $3.69B $3.20B 32.6%
25Q4 $13.64B $6.14B $5.24B 45.0%
26Q1 $23.86B $16.14B $13.79B 67.6%
26Q2 $41.46B $33.32B $28.24B 80.4%

Latest-quarter revenue up +345.7% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 19.0x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 5.6x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 10.6x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 17.7x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 0.1x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 13.8x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Micron Technology, Inc. $958.80B 19.2x 5.6x 10.6x
SK hynix ₩1,307.55T 4.1x 9.9x
SamsungElec ₩1,674.47T 3.9x 4.3x
Western Digital Corporation $164.49B 28.6x 25.7x 14.0x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $1,489.57
  • Target high / low: $2,200.00 / $361.00
  • Implied upside: +75.5%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.4/5)
  • Analysts covering: 42
  • Next earnings: 2026-09-24
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 24.0 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -2.0% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +75.8% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 1.2x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

  • Here’s What Can End Micron’s Stock Pain — Barron’s
  • 3 Semiconductor Stocks to Buy Before AI Demand Explodes in July — 24/7 Wall St.
  • What’s Going on With Micron Technology Stock Friday? — Benzinga
  • Has Micron Technology Stock Peaked? — The Motley Fool
  • Why is Micron Technology stock sliding today? — Investing.com
  • Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) shares drop; auto deals do not alter AI exposure (MarketWatch) — TechStock²
💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

With a forward PER of just 5.9 versus a trailing PER of 19.8, the market appears to be pricing in continued explosive earnings growth — a gap worth confirming as durable rather than cyclical. Recent weakness, including reports of an 8% single-day drop and broader memory-stock selloffs alongside SanDisk, may weigh on sentiment near-term even as MU trades 83.6% above its 200-day average. Watch the September 24, 2026 earnings date, HBM pricing trends, and whether auto/embedded softness dilutes AI-driven upside.

Next earnings on 2026-09-24 (in 67 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

Auto-generated stock report · 2026-07-18 10:18 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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