[Deep Dive] 2026.08.20 Alphabet (GOOGL) +9% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

GOOGL closed at 340.67, -1.17% on the day and +9.0% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-20

🌐 한국어판 보기

Alphabet (GOOGL) closed at $340.67, down 1.17% on the day. Year-to-date return is +9.0%, sitting at 68% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-10-28 (in 68 days).

Close
$340.67
-1.17% · YTD +9.0%
Market Cap
$4,166.37B
Internet Content & Information
Forward P/E
23.0x
PER 17.1x
52-wk Range
68%
High $408.61 · Low $199.43

🔍 At a Glance

Alphabet pairs a dominant, still-growing core (revenue up 24.2% YoY, 33.1% operating margin, ROE near 49%) with a PEG of 0.9, suggesting growth isn’t fully priced despite a forward PE of 23. The bear case: shares sit 14.1% below their 3-month level, RSI at 39.3 signals fading momentum, and the stock trades 4.1% under its 60-day average even as it holds above the 200-day line, hinting at a mixed near-term technical picture.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Alphabet’s engine is Google Services—Search, YouTube, Android, Play, and ads—supplemented by Google Cloud’s consumption and subscription-based AI infrastructure and Gemini enterprise offerings, plus longer-shot Other Bets like Waymo. Advertising and cloud together drive the bulk of the $445.87B TTM revenue base, while margins stay elevated thanks to scale in Search and increasing cloud profitability.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $96.43B $31.27B $28.20B 32.4%
25Q3 $102.35B $31.23B $34.98B 30.5%
25Q4 $113.83B $35.93B $34.45B 31.6%
26Q1 $109.90B $39.70B $62.58B 36.1%
26Q2 $119.80B $40.77B $112.19B 34.0%

Latest-quarter revenue up +24.2% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 17.1x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 23.0x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 9.3x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 10.0x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 0.9x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 23.7x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Alphabet Inc. $4,166.37B 17.1x 23.0x 9.3x
Microsoft Corporation $3,572.80B 26.8x 20.4x 10.8x
Meta Platforms, Inc. $1,390.51B 20.6x 15.7x 6.1x
Amazon.com, Inc. $2,805.63B 20.9x 25.1x 3.6x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $428.07
  • Target high / low: $515.00 / $340.00
  • Implied upside: +25.7%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.4/5)
  • Analysts covering: 54
  • Next earnings: 2026-10-28
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 39.3 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -4.1% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +2.5% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.7x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The common thread is intensifying big-money conviction around Alphabet’s AI buildout—from Berkshire’s $17 billion addition to Waymo’s custom robotaxi chip and Trefis noting AI spending is now “finding customers.” This matters because it reframes Alphabet’s massive capital outlays as a monetization story rather than pure cost, which could support the premium forward multiple if cloud and autonomous-driving bets convert into revenue. Investors will want to confirm that upcoming earnings show tangible AI-driven revenue rather than just spending headlines.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings report lands October 28, 2026, a key checkpoint for whether cloud growth and AI monetization can sustain the 24%-plus revenue pace. Bulls will watch for the stock reclaiming its 60-day moving average and analyst targets (average 428.07, range 340–515) converging upward; bears will watch RSI staying depressed and further compression toward the 52-week lower half (currently at 68%). Continued heavy AI infrastructure spending without matching revenue conversion could pressure margins and multiple.

Next earnings on 2026-10-28 (in 68 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Alphabet · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-21 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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