[Deep Dive] 2026.08.05 Alphabet (GOOGL) +16% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

GOOGL closed at 362.43, -4.03% on the day and +15.9% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-05

🌐 한국어판 보기

Alphabet (GOOGL) closed at $362.43, down 4.03% on the day. Year-to-date return is +15.9%, sitting at 78% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-10-28 (in 83 days).

Close
$362.43
-4.03% · YTD +15.9%
Market Cap
$4,432.50B
Internet Content & Information
Forward P/E
24.6x
PER 18.2x
52-wk Range
78%
High $408.61 · Low $193.67

🔍 At a Glance

Alphabet still posts elite fundamentals — 24.2% quarterly revenue growth, 33.1% operating margin, and a stunning 48.7% ROE — with a “strong buy” consensus (55 analysts) and average target of 428, well above the current 362.43. Yet today’s 4.03% drop, a leadership shakeup in AI, and a rich forward PER of 24.6 highlight that expectations are demanding and sentiment can swing quickly on execution concerns.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Alphabet’s core engine remains Google Services — Search, YouTube, Android, Play, and advertising — supplemented by Google Cloud’s growing consumption-based AI infrastructure and Vertex AI/Gemini enterprise offerings. Other Bets rounds out the portfolio but remains a minor contributor. The combination of massive ad-driven cash flow and expanding high-margin cloud/AI revenue underpins the company’s industry-leading profitability.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $96.43B $31.27B $28.20B 32.4%
25Q3 $102.35B $31.23B $34.98B 30.5%
25Q4 $113.83B $35.93B $34.45B 31.6%
26Q1 $109.90B $39.70B $62.58B 36.1%
26Q2 $119.80B $40.77B $112.19B 34.0%

Latest-quarter revenue up +24.2% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 18.2x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 24.6x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 9.9x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 10.7x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 1.0x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 25.8x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Alphabet Inc. $4,432.50B 18.2x 24.6x 9.9x
Microsoft Corporation $3,619.66B 27.2x 20.8x 10.9x
Meta Platforms, Inc. $1,499.90B 22.2x 16.8x 6.6x
Amazon.com, Inc. $2,940.89B 21.9x 26.3x 3.8x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $428.04
  • Target high / low: $515.00 / $340.00
  • Implied upside: +18.1%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.4/5)
  • Analysts covering: 55
  • Next earnings: 2026-10-28
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 53.1 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -0.3% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +10.6% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 1.4x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The common thread across headlines is investor unease about AI execution risk — from the Google AI leadership shakeup and executive departure to broader warnings about AI capital intensity affecting Nvidia, Palantir, Meta, and Alphabet alike. These stories matter because Alphabet’s premium valuation (forward PER 24.6, EV/EBITDA 25.8) already prices in flawless AI and cloud execution, so any leadership disruption or spending overshoot may weigh on sentiment even as the $514B cloud backlog underscores long-term demand strength.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

Bull case: continued cloud backlog conversion (reportedly $514B) and AI monetization sustain 20%+ growth, pushing shares toward the upper analyst range of 515. Bear case: further AI leadership instability, cloud capex overruns, or ad-spend softness could compress margins and test support near MA60 (currently just -0.3% below price). Watch the next earnings report on 2026-10-28 for updates on cloud backlog conversion, capex guidance, and any commentary on recent executive departures.

Next earnings on 2026-10-28 (in 83 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Alphabet · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-06 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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