[Deep Dive] 2026.08.18 AMD (AMD) +126% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

AMD closed at 484.39, -4.27% on the day and +126.2% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-18

🌐 한국어판 보기

AMD (AMD) closed at $484.39, down 4.27% on the day. Year-to-date return is +126.2%, sitting at 77% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-11-03 (in 76 days).

Close
$484.39
-4.27% · YTD +126.2%
Market Cap
$790.75B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
31.3x
PER 122.9x
52-wk Range
77%
High $584.73 · Low $149.22

🔍 At a Glance

AMD has been one of 2025’s defining AI trades, up 126% year-to-date and 126.8% over six months, powered by a 50.1% year-over-year revenue jump and Street consensus firmly at strong buy with a $612.84 average target. But the stock trades at a trailing PER of 122.9 and EV/EBITDA above 85, meaning today’s price already bakes in years of flawless execution, and a 4.27% single-day drop shows how quickly sentiment can wobble.

🏢 How It Makes Money

AMD designs and sells semiconductors across three segments: Data Center (AI accelerators, EPYC server CPUs), Client and Gaming (Ryzen and Radeon chips for PCs and consoles), and Embedded (FPGAs, adaptive SoCs, and custom silicon). Growth is increasingly tied to AI accelerator demand competing against Nvidia, alongside steady PC and gaming chip sales and semi-custom deals for consoles and other systems.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $7.68B $-134M $872M -1.7%
25Q3 $9.25B $1.27B $1.24B 13.7%
25Q4 $10.27B $1.75B $1.51B 17.1%
26Q1 $10.25B $1.48B $1.38B 14.4%
26Q2 $11.54B $1.99B $2.30B 17.3%

Latest-quarter revenue up +50.1% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 122.9x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 31.3x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 19.1x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 12.6x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 1.1x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 85.5x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $790.75B 124.2x 31.3x 19.1x
NVIDIA Corporation $5,322.32B 33.7x 17.1x 21.0x
Intel Corporation $511.09B 47.4x 9.0x
Broadcom Inc. $1,807.88B 63.3x 19.5x 24.0x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $612.84
  • Target high / low: $1,250.00 / $365.00
  • Implied upside: +26.5%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.5/5)
  • Analysts covering: 47
  • Next earnings: 2026-11-03
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 61.2 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -5.0% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +48.3% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.8x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The common thread is intensifying scrutiny of AMD’s position in the AI chip race—ARK trimming its stake in favor of Nvidia, comparisons against Micron, and chatter around a rival “Supernova” event all signal investors actively re-ranking AI winners. Because AMD’s valuation already assumes sustained AI-driven growth, any shift in perceived competitive standing versus Nvidia, Micron, or emerging challengers may weigh on sentiment and multiple compression, even if underlying fundamentals hold steady.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

Bull case: continued AI accelerator momentum, margin expansion toward that 15.7% TTM operating margin, and reacceleration in Data Center revenue could justify the lofty PSR of 19.1 and PEG near 1.1. Bear case: any stumble in AI chip shipments or share loss to rivals could hit hard given a stock sitting 48.3% above its 200-day average and 77% up its 52-week range. Watch the next earnings report on November 3, 2026, RSI at 61.2 (not yet overbought), and whether shares hold above the MA60 level, currently 5% below spot.

Next earnings on 2026-11-03 (in 76 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on AMD · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-19 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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