[Deep Dive] 2026.08.04 AMD (AMD) +142% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

AMD closed at 518.58, +7.00% on the day and +142.1% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-04

🌐 한국어판 보기

AMD (AMD) closed at $518.58, up 7.00% on the day. Year-to-date return is +142.1%, sitting at 85% of its 52-week range. Earnings for the quarter were reported on 2026-08-04.

Close
$518.58
+7.00% · YTD +142.1%
Market Cap
$845.60B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
37.3x
PER 168.8x
52-wk Range
85%
High $584.73 · Low $149.22

🔍 At a Glance

AMD is riding a genuine AI-driven growth story — quarterly revenue up 37.8% YoY, Data Center revenue reportedly more than doubling to $6.7B, and shares up 142.1% YTD with a “strong buy” consensus from 47 analysts (average target 579.11). But the valuation is stretched by almost any measure — trailing PER of 168.8, EV/EBITDA above 105, PBR of 13.4 — while ROE sits at a modest 8.1% and the stock just fell 6.1% over the past month, suggesting the market is pricing in flawless execution.

🏢 How It Makes Money

AMD designs and sells semiconductors across three segments: Data Center (AI accelerators, EPYC server chips), Client and Gaming (Ryzen CPUs, Radeon GPUs), and Embedded (FPGAs, adaptive SoCs via its Xilinx lineup). The Data Center segment is now the key growth engine as AI infrastructure spending accelerates, while Client and Gaming provides steadier, more cyclical PC and console-linked revenue.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $7.68B $-134M $872M -1.7%
25Q3 $9.25B $1.27B $1.24B 13.7%
25Q4 $10.27B $1.75B $1.51B 17.1%
26Q1 $10.25B $1.48B $1.38B 14.4%
26Q2 $11.54B $1.99B $2.30B 17.3%

Latest-quarter revenue up +50.1% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 168.8x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 37.3x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 22.6x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 13.4x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 1.1x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 105.2x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $845.60B 172.9x 37.3x 22.6x
NVIDIA Corporation $5,133.40B 32.5x 16.4x 20.3x
Intel Corporation $508.74B 49.1x 8.9x
Broadcom Inc. $1,989.43B 69.7x 21.5x 26.4x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $579.11
  • Target high / low: $1,250.00 / $320.00
  • Implied upside: +11.7%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.5/5)
  • Analysts covering: 47
  • Last earnings: 2026-08-04 — reported
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 48.4 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA +3.3% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +64.9% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 1.3x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The headlines reveal a tug-of-war between AI-fueled optimism — Microsoft’s endorsement and doubled Data Center revenue — and competitive anxiety, as Elon Musk’s SpaceX chip commitment to Nvidia knocked shares down 8%. This tension captures the core investment question: whether AMD can convert AI infrastructure demand into durable market share against Nvidia’s dominance, a dynamic that will directly shape whether today’s premium valuation is sustainable or vulnerable to disappointment.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

Bull case: continued Data Center momentum, expanding AI accelerator design wins (including hyperscaler partnerships), and margin improvement toward peer levels could justify the premium multiple. Bear case: any slippage in AI GPU share versus Nvidia, soft PC/gaming demand, or margin disappointment could trigger sharp drawdowns given how much growth is already priced in — note the stock is 85% up its 52-week range but RSI is a neutral 48.4. Watch the next earnings report closely for Data Center growth trends, gross margin trajectory, and management’s AI roadmap commentary.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on AMD · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-05 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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