[Deep Dive] 2026.07.27 Apple (AAPL) +24% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

AAPL closed at 336.91, +1.17% on the day and +24.2% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-07-27

🌐 한국어판 보기

Apple (AAPL) closed at $336.91, up 1.17% on the day. Year-to-date return is +24.2%, sitting at 101% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-07-30 (in 2 days).

Close
$336.91
+1.17% · YTD +24.2%
Market Cap
$4,948.32B
Consumer Electronics
Forward P/E
34.9x
PER 40.4x
52-wk Range
101%
High $339.57 · Low $201.50

🔍 At a Glance

Apple just reclaimed the title of world’s most valuable company, riding a scorching +36.8% six-month run and +16.6% revenue growth, with 32.6% operating margins showcasing rare operating discipline. Yet at 336.91 the stock sits at 101% of its 52-week band, RSI of 72.1 signals overbought conditions, and a 40.4 PER against a 318.81 average analyst target suggests the market may already be pricing in a lot of good news.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Apple’s engine remains iPhone, Mac, iPad, and wearables (AirPods, Watch, Vision Pro) hardware, increasingly wrapped in high-margin services — App Store, AppleCare, cloud, and subscriptions like Apple Arcade. Headlines note Q3 focus has shifted toward camera innovation rather than AI headlines, while commentary on Apple “avoiding capex pitfalls” highlights a leaner spending approach versus AI-heavy peers like Nvidia — a contrast investors are watching closely in the Buffett-favorite Apple-vs-Alphabet debate.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q1 $95.36B $29.59B $24.78B 31.0%
25Q2 $94.04B $28.20B $23.43B 30.0%
25Q3 $102.47B $32.43B $27.47B 31.6%
25Q4 $143.76B $50.85B $42.10B 35.4%
26Q1 $111.18B $35.88B $29.58B 32.3%

Latest-quarter revenue up +16.6% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 40.4x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 34.9x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 11.0x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 67.1x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 2.7x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 30.7x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Apple Inc. $4,948.32B 40.8x 34.9x 11.0x
Microsoft Corporation $2,890.40B 23.2x 20.1x 9.1x
Alphabet Inc. $3,993.81B 16.4x 22.2x 9.0x
SamsungElec ₩1,667.91T 3.9x 4.3x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $318.81
  • Target high / low: $400.00 / $215.00
  • Implied upside: -5.4%
  • Rating: Buy (2.0/5)
  • Analysts covering: 43
  • Next earnings: 2026-07-30
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 72.1 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA +11.0% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +22.0% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.9x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

  • Apple overtakes Nvidia as most valuable company as iPhone maker avoids ‘capex pitfalls’ — Yahoo Finance
  • Apple options are doing something unusual into earnings — CNBC
  • What’s Going on With Apple Stock Monday? – Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) — Benzinga
  • Apple: Q3 Is About Cameras, Not AI – Here’s Why That’s A Good Thing — Seeking Alpha
  • Apple Reclaims Market-Cap Crown — WSJ
  • Alphabet vs. Apple: Which Warren Buffett Favorite Is the Better Buy Right Now? — Yahoo Finance
💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings date, July 30, 2026, is the key checkpoint — unusual options activity into earnings suggests traders expect a volatile reaction. A beat on services growth or camera-driven iPhone upgrades could justify the premium valuation (PEG 2.7, EV/EBITDA 30.7). Conversely, with shares 22% above the 200-day average and near 52-week highs, any guidance softness or capex/AI-spending questions may weigh on sentiment. Watch whether the stock holds above its 60-day moving average as a trend-health signal.

Next earnings on 2026-07-30 (in 2 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Apple · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-07-28 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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