[Deep Dive] 2026.07.23 Alteogen (196170) -32% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

Alteogen (196170) closed at ₩306,500, +14.37% on the day, -31.8% year to date, 17% of 52-week range — stock deep dive summary card

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-07-23

🌐 한국어판 보기

Alteogen (196170) closed at ₩306,500, up 14.37% on the day. Year-to-date return is -31.8%, sitting at 17% of its 52-week range. Listed in Seoul — for USD-based investors, KRW moves add an FX layer on top of the stock’s local return.

Close
₩306,500
+14.37% · YTD -31.8%
Market Cap
₩16.40T
Biotechnology
Forward P/E
40.8x
PER 126.0x
52-wk Range
17%
High ₩569,000 · Low ₩253,000

🔍 At a Glance

Alteogen just staged a dramatic 14.37% single-day jump — strong enough to trigger a KOSDAQ buy-side circuit breaker alongside EcoPro BM — yet the stock remains down 31.8% YTD and sits near the bottom of its 52-week range (17th percentile), still 24.7% below its 200-day moving average. Bulls point to a 41.8% TTM operating margin, 25.2% ROE, and a diversified biobetter/ADC pipeline (ALT-P1, ALT-Q2, ALT-P7, ALT-Q5, ALT-L9 with Kissei) that justifies premium multiples; bears note revenue actually fell 14.5% YoY last quarter and valuation remains extreme — PER 126x, forward PER 40.8x, EV/EBITDA over 150x — leaving little room for disappointment.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Alteogen generates revenue from platform licensing and biobetter/ADC development, notably its NexP long-acting and NexMab conjugation technologies. Partnerships like the Kissei alliance on ALT-L9 (an Eylea biosimilar) and other undisclosed deals (including Cristalia) drive milestone and royalty-style income rather than product sales, explaining the high margins despite modest ₩203.8B TTM revenue.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q1 ₩83.7B ₩61.0B ₩83.2B 72.9%
25Q2 ₩18.6B ₩-0.4B ₩-33.1B -2.3%
25Q3 ₩49.0B ₩26.7B ₩22.3B 54.4%
25Q4 ₩64.5B ₩19.6B ₩69.2B 30.4%
26Q1 ₩71.6B ₩39.3B ₩71.7B 54.9%

Latest-quarter revenue down -14.5% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 126.0x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 40.8x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 80.5x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 36.8x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
EV/EBITDA 150.7x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Alteogen ₩16.40T 40.8x 80.5x
Celltrion ₩39.49T 23.6x 8.8x
SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS ₩63.84T 28.1x 13.3x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): ₩458,000
  • Target high / low: ₩620,000 / ₩250,000
  • Implied upside: +49.4%
  • Rating: none
  • Analysts covering: 5
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 39.2 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -10.9% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA -24.7% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day below 200-day (bearish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 1.1x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

  • KOSDAQ Buy-Side Circuit Breaker Triggers Alteogen, EcoPro BM Surge — 조선일보
  • Alteogen (196170) Stock Forecast & Price Target — Investing.com
  • Price to earnings forward of ALTEOGEN Inc. – KRX:196170 — TradingView
  • KOSDAQ Climbs 3% as Biotech Stocks Lead, Outpacing Chips — Seoul Economic Daily
  • SK Hynix, SK Square, SK Telecom, LG Electronics, and LS were the most net buyers by high-yield inves.. — 매일경제
  • ‘KOSDAQ Leader Over KOSPI’… Why Alteogen Chose to Stay — 아시아경제
💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

Today’s rally reflects broader KOSDAQ biotech momentum, not necessarily company-specific news — worth confirming whether it’s driven by clinical or partnership catalysts. RSI at 39.2 suggests the stock isn’t yet overbought despite the spike. With consensus targets spanning ₩250,000–620,000 (avg ₩458,000, 5 analysts), the gap versus current price highlights wide uncertainty. Watch for pipeline updates (ALT-P1, ALT-P7 trials) and next quarterly results, which could either validate the bounce or reinforce recent revenue softness.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Alteogen · Market report for this session

Auto-generated stock report · 2026-07-23 16:00 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

Comments

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Stock Rollbar · 스톡롤바

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading