[US Close] 2026.07.29 S&P 500 falls -1.5% — Market Wrap

S&P 500 closed at 7,316.15, -1.52% on the day and -2.4% over the week — daily change bars for the last 5 sessions

US Market Report · as of 2026-07-29 NY close

🌐 한국어판 보기

The S&P 500 closed at 7,316.15, down 1.52% on the day. Overall regime call: INFLATION.

S&P 500 Close
7,316.15
-1.52% · -3.9% vs peak
VIX
20.7
Elevated
USD/KRW
1,443.9
-1.40% · 1M -6.3%
Regime
INFLATION
🟢 Entries allowed

📝 US Market Wrap

■ Market Overview & Leaders

US stocks slumped after the Fed’s hawkish hold, with the Dow off 2.19% to 51,594.14, the S&P 500 down 1.52% to 7,316.15, and the Nasdaq sliding 1.74% to 24,442.94. The real damage was in chips: the PHLX Semiconductor Index cratered 5.33% to 10,447.49, dragging Applied Materials (-8.4%), Caterpillar (-6.9%), AMD (-5.5%), Intel (-5.1%) and Qualcomm (-4.4%) lower — a rout that should weigh on Asian chip names at the open. Software and energy bucked the trend, with Intuit (+6.4%), Adobe (+5.7%), Salesforce (+3.8%), ExxonMobil (+2.4%) and Chevron (+2.3%) posting solid gains.

■ Flows & Breadth

Breadth was firmly negative, with large caps splitting 14 advancers to 26 decliners. VIX spiked 13.45% to 20.66, signaling a genuine risk-off shift rather than a narrow pullback. The won strengthened, with USD/KRW down 1.40% to 1,443.87, reflecting broader dollar softness amid the volatility.

■ Takeaway

Today’s selloff was concentrated in semis and industrials while software and energy held firm, so headline index losses actually understate how uneven the damage was beneath the surface. Rising volatility alongside falling breadth points to continued caution ahead. 📉

📊 Market Snapshot

Index Close 1D 5D 1M vs Peak
S&P 500 7,316.15 -1.52% -2.4% -1.7% -3.9%
Nasdaq 24,442.94 -1.74% -4.9% -5.3% -9.8%
Dow 51,594 -2.19% -1.2% -1.1% -2.8%
PHLX Semiconductor 10,447.5 -5.33% -15.8% -23.8% -28.6%
VIX 20.7 +13.45% +24.2% +17.1% -32.5%
USD/KRW 1,443.9 -1.40% -2.4% -6.3% -7.1%
💡 Korea Market 101
Alongside the majors, we track the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) — the overnight driver of Korean chipmakers like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. A big SOX move often sets the tone for the next KOSPI session. VIX under 20 is calm; above 30 signals fear.

3-month index chart

🏷️ Large-Cap Movers (Today)

Gainers Chg Losers Chg
Intuit +6.4% Applied Materials -8.4%
Adobe +5.7% Caterpillar -6.9%
Salesforce +3.8% AMD -5.5%
ExxonMobil +2.4% Intel -5.1%
Chevron +2.3% Qualcomm -4.4%

Large-cap breadth: 14 up · 26 down (of 40)

💡 Korea Market 101
Today’s biggest US large-cap moves. US sector rotation frequently leads the Korean market by a day — watching where money flows here gives a preview of tomorrow’s Seoul session.

🔄 Sector Rotation

Sector 1M 3M Score Type
Consumer Discretionary -13.3% +13.4% 26.9 Growth
Technology -11.5% +9.8% 18.9 Growth
Communication Services +12.1% +6.4% 17.9 Growth
Materials +5.8% +8.8% 17.4
Industrials +3.4% +34.7% 16.6
Consumer Staples +7.2% +6.1% 14.4 Defensive
Health Care +8.0% +9.4% 9.3 Defensive
Financials +9.9% -2.4% 7.0 Defensive
💡 Korea Market 101
A ranking of where money is flowing across industries. A higher score means stronger recent price action. ‘Growth’ sectors (chips, IT) lead in good times; ‘Defensive’ sectors (telecom, staples) hold up in downturns. When defensives cluster at the top, the market has turned cautious.

📐 Market Breadth

(40 names)

Above 200-DMA Above 50-DMA Up over 1M 52-wk highs 52-wk lows
62% 58% 65% 22% 0%
💡 Korea Market 101
What the index alone hides. ‘% above 200-DMA’ is the share of stocks in a long-term uptrend — below 50% means most stocks are in long-term decline even if the index isn’t. Comparing new 52-week highs vs lows reveals whether it’s truly a bull or bear tape underneath the headline number.

📰 Headlines

  • Dow dives, S&P 500 trades lower in volatile market following Fed decision: Live updates — CNBC
  • Stock market today: Dow plunges by 1,100 points, S&P 500 and Nasdaq sink as yields rise on Fed’s hawkish hold — Yahoo Finance
  • Wall Street closes down sharply after Fed holds rates unchanged — Reuters
  • Stock Market Today: Dow Falls After Fed Decision, S&P 500, Nasdaq Sink; Trump, Iran Fears; Micron, Marvell, SK Hynix, Microsoft, More Movers — Barron’s
  • Dow jumps more than 500 points as oil prices slide, investors rotate out of chip stocks — CNBC
  • Markets News, July 28, 2026: Major Indexes End Mostly Higher on Strong Earnings as Oil Prices Sink; Dow Adds Nearly 550 Points; Chip Stocks Weigh on Nasdaq — Investopedia
  • Stock Market News From July 28, 2026: Dow, S&P 500 Rise; Nasdaq Falls; Micron, Marvell, Nvidia, More Movers — Barron’s
  • Stock Market Today: Dow ends 1,150 points lower, S&P 500 and Nasdaq plunge after Fed’s Warsh keep rates unchanged; oil higher as Iran conflict intensifies — MarketWatch
💡 Korea Market 101
English-language coverage of the Korean market. Two Korea-specific terms worth knowing: a ‘circuit breaker’ halts all trading when the index moves too fast, and a ‘sidecar’ briefly suspends program trading — both are exchange safety mechanisms you’ll see mentioned on volatile days.

🌐 Macro Dashboard

Indicator Level 1M Signal
US 10Y yield 0.71
Dollar Index (DXY) 120.71 +0.0%
Gold 4,129 +2.7%
WTI Crude 84.20 +21.1%
Bitcoin 63,902 +2.6%
💡 Korea Market 101
The bigger picture around equities. A rising US 10-year yield raises borrowing costs and pressures stocks. A stronger dollar (higher DXY) tends to pull foreign capital out of emerging markets like Korea. Gold is the fear gauge, oil proxies inflation, and Bitcoin reflects risk appetite.

🌡️ Regime & Risk Diagnosis

  • Regime call: INFLATION — Inflationary — growth with rising price pressure
  • Allocation guide: Tilt toward real assets and value
💡 Korea Market 101
Think of the ‘regime’ as market weather. RISK-OFF means investors are sheltering in cash rather than risk assets. ‘Realized volatility’ is a thermometer for how wildly prices swing — under 20 is calm, above 40 is panic territory. The ‘crash gate’ is our system’s traffic light: when the Korean market falls too fast, it turns red and the system stops buying on its own, then reopens automatically when conditions settle. (Note: the regime diagnosis text is produced in Korean by the engine.)

🎯 System Watchlist

Sectors in focus: Consumer Discretionary 4 names · Technology 3 names · Consumer Staples 3 names · Health Care 2 names · Financials 2 names

Name Mkt Sector Style Score Target Stop Status
HSIC US Health Care Swing 100 +11.2% -5.6% Watching
ZBRA US Technology Swing 100 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
CINF US Financials Swing 100 +19.0% -9.5% Watching
EBAY US Consumer Discretionary Swing 100 +17.7% -8.9% Watching
PFG US Financials Swing 100 +15.6% -7.8% Watching
FFIV US Technology Swing 100 +20.0% -10.0% Held
CSCO US Technology Swing 100 +20.0% -10.0% Held
STLD US Materials Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
CHTR US Communication Services Squeeze 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
KMB US Consumer Staples Swing 90 +19.6% -9.8% Watching
AEP US Utilities Swing 90 +13.4% -6.7% Watching
UAL US Industrials Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Held
💡 Korea Market 101
A scanner screens hundreds of Korean and US stocks daily and scores them on technical and fundamental criteria (max 100). ‘Target’ is the expected gain if the setup works; ‘Stop’ is the pre-committed maximum loss if it doesn’t — the system always defines the exit before entering. ‘Swing’ rides multi-day trends; ‘Squeeze’ waits for dormant stocks to break out. ‘Watching’ means signal registered but not bought; ‘Held’ means the system actually owns it. ⚠️ This is an algorithm’s candidate list, not investment advice. Korean stock names are shown in Korean.

🤖 System Trading Status

No positions closed today.

7 open positions — average unrealized P&L -0.75% (4 winning / 3 losing)

Open positions P&L chart

💡 Korea Market 101
‘Closed’ = sold; ‘open’ = still held. Unrealized P&L assumes selling right now — nothing is locked in until sold. ‘STOP’ means the pre-set safety line was hit and the system sold automatically; ‘ROTATION_EXIT’ means it swapped into a stronger candidate. The one rule this system lives by: cut losses early and automatically, let winners run.

Published 2026-07-30 07:16 KST
For information only — not investment advice or a solicitation. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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