Stock Deep Dive · 2026-07-23
Tesla (TSLA) closed at $319.69, down 14.52% on the day. Year-to-date return is -28.9%, sitting at 11% of its 52-week range. Earnings for the quarter were reported on 2026-07-22 (EPS $0.33 vs $0.54 consensus, -38%).
|
Close
$319.69
-14.52% · YTD -28.9%
|
Market Cap
$1,200.67B
Auto Manufacturers
|
Forward P/E
142.5x
PER 446.3x
|
52-wk Range
11%
High $498.83 · Low $297.82
|
🔍 At a Glance
Tesla shares just cratered 14.52% in a single session, dragging YTD returns to -28.9% and pushing the stock near the bottom of its 52-week range (11th percentile). Bulls can point to +15.8% quarterly revenue growth and a consensus “buy” rating with a $425 average target implying meaningful upside from $319.69. Bears note that free cash flow turned negative, margins are sliding, operating margin sits at just 5.8%, ROE is a thin 4.7%, and valuation remains extreme (PER 446x, EV/EBITDA 109.5x) even after the selloff.
🏢 How It Makes Money
Tesla’s core Automotive segment sells EVs, regulatory credits, financing/leasing, and after-sales services through owned service centers and Superchargers. Its Energy Generation and Storage segment adds diversification. The recent earnings miss and softening margins suggest cost pressure and pricing competition are biting into what was once a premium-margin story, while robotaxi ambitions—key to bulls’ growth narrative—now face a more skeptical Wall Street tone.
📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?
| Quarter | Revenue | Op. Income | Net Income | Op. Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25Q1 | $19.34B | $493M | $409M | 2.5% |
| 25Q2 | $22.50B | $923M | $1.17B | 4.1% |
| 25Q3 | $28.09B | $1.86B | $1.37B | 6.6% |
| 25Q4 | $24.90B | $1.57B | $840M | 6.3% |
| 26Q1 | $22.39B | $941M | $477M | 4.2% |
Latest-quarter revenue up +15.8% versus the same quarter a year ago.
💡 Korea Market 101
⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?
| Metric | Value | How to read it |
|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 446.3x | Price vs last 12 months’ earnings |
| P/E (forward) | 142.5x | Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in |
| P/S | 15.9x | Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits |
| P/B | 14.6x | Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value |
| PEG | 4.7x | P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding |
| EV/EBITDA | 109.5x | Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation |
Peer comparison
| Name | Mkt Cap | P/E | Fwd P/E | P/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla, Inc. | $1,200.67B | 296.0x | 142.5x | 11.6x |
| General Motors Company | $72.96B | 36.0x | 5.5x | 0.4x |
| Ford Motor Company | $56.38B | — | 7.8x | 0.3x |
| Rivian Automotive, Inc. | $23.82B | — | -8.8x | 4.3x |
💡 Korea Market 101
🎯 Street Consensus
- Price target (mean): $425.09
- Target high / low: $600.00 / $125.00
- Implied upside: +33.0%
- Rating: Buy (2.4/5)
- Analysts covering: 38
- Last earnings: 2026-07-22 — reported
💡 Korea Market 101
📉 Price Action — Technical Check
| Indicator | Value | How to read it |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14d) | 29.0 | Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold |
| vs 60-day MA | -20.9% | Above/below the medium-term trend |
| vs 200-day MA | -23.0% | Above/below the long-term trend |
| Golden/death cross | 50-day below 200-day (bearish alignment) | 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day |
| Volume (vs 20d avg) | 2.7x | 2x+ means a spike in market attention |
💡 Korea Market 101
📰 Recent News
- Google and Tesla shares plunge as AI spending rattles markets — BBC
- Alphabet and Tesla test Wall Street’s patience as AI spending overshadows growth — CNBC
- Stock Market Today: Major Indexes Close Sharply Lower as Alphabet, Tesla Shares Sink, Oil Tops $100 a Barrel — Investopedia
- Tesla misses on earnings, as free cash flow turns negative and margins slide — CNBC
- Tesla shares plunge nearly 15% as once-bullish tone on robotaxis shifts — The Globe and Mail
- ‘Tolerance Will Narrow’: Why Tesla Stock’s Price Target Got Lowered at Morgan Stanley — TipRanks
💡 Korea Market 101
🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch
RSI at 29 signals oversold conditions, and shares trade well below both MA60 (-20.9%) and MA200 (-23.0%), which could invite a technical bounce or continued momentum breakdown. Broader AI-spending jitters (as seen with Alphabet) may weigh on sentiment further. Watch for margin stabilization, any robotaxi timeline clarity, and whether free cash flow turns positive again. The next earnings report on 2026-10-21 will be pivotal in confirming whether Morgan Stanley’s narrowing tolerance proves warranted or premature.
💡 Korea Market 101
📚 All stock analysis · More on Tesla · Market report for this session
Stock report · published 2026-07-24 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.
Leave a Reply