[Deep Dive] 2026.08.21 Hyundai Motor (005380) +41% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

005380 closed at 415,000, -0.60% on the day and +41.1% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-21

🌐 한국어판 보기

Hyundai Motor (005380) closed at ₩415,000, down 0.60% on the day. Year-to-date return is +41.1%, sitting at 35% of its 52-week range. Earnings for the quarter were reported on 2026-08-13 (EPS ₩9,621 vs ₩10,591 consensus, -9%). Listed in Seoul — for USD-based investors, KRW moves add an FX layer on top of the stock’s local return.

Close
₩415,000
-0.60% · YTD +41.1%
Market Cap
₩108.66T
Auto Manufacturers
Forward P/E
8.5x
PER 12.6x
52-wk Range
35%
High ₩783,000 · Low ₩213,000

🔍 At a Glance

Hyundai Motor trades at just 8.5x forward earnings and 0.9x book value despite a 41.1% YTD gain, with 31 analysts rating it “buy” and an average target (₩676,843) implying substantial upside from ₩415,000. The bull case rests on cheap valuation, a strong SUV/hybrid lineup, and speculative tailwinds (Nvidia tie-up chatter, Atlas optimism); the bear case is a brutal 3-month drawdown of -37.2%, price sitting 16.8% below its 60-day average, and a thin 5.5% operating margin that leaves little room for error if global auto demand slumps.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Hyundai manufactures and sells vehicles across combustion, hybrid, EV, and commercial lines (Elantra, Tucson, Ioniq, Santa Fe, Palisade, and more), supplemented by a captive Finance segment offering auto loans and credit services. With TTM revenue of ₩188.71 trillion and only +1.9% quarterly YoY growth, volume and mix (particularly SUV and hybrid share) drive profitability more than top-line expansion.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q1 ₩44.41T ₩3.63T ₩3.16T 8.2%
25Q2 ₩48.29T ₩3.60T ₩3.00T 7.5%
25Q3 ₩46.72T ₩2.54T ₩2.26T 5.4%
25Q4 ₩46.84T ₩1.70T ₩1.03T 3.6%
26Q1 ₩45.94T ₩2.51T ₩2.34T 5.5%
26Q2* ₩49.22T ₩2.85T ₩2.52T 5.8%

* 26Q2 figures come from the company’s preliminary earnings disclosure filed with Korea’s DART on 2026-07-23. They are unaudited and will be replaced once the reviewed quarterly or half-year report is filed.

Latest-quarter revenue up +1.9% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 12.6x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 8.5x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 0.6x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 0.9x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
EV/EBITDA 21.1x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
HyundaiMtr ₩108.66T 8.5x 0.6x
KIA CORP. ₩50.88T 5.5x 0.4x
Toyota Motor Corporation $227.63B 8.6x 12.2x 0.0x
General Motors Company $77.92B 38.0x 5.8x 0.4x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

💰 Dividend — What It Pays Back

  • Dividend yield: 2.40%
  • Dividend per share: ₩10,000
  • 5-year average yield: 4.02% — below its historical average at the current price
  • Payout ratio: 30.4%
💡 Korea Market 101
Dividend yield is one year of dividends against the share price. A falling price pushes the yield up, so a high number is not automatically good. The payout ratio is the share of profit paid out; above 100% means it is paying more than it earns, which is hard to sustain.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): ₩676,843
  • Target high / low: ₩900,000 / ₩463,129
  • Implied upside: +63.1%
  • Rating: Buy (1.7/5)
  • Analysts covering: 31
  • Last earnings: 2026-08-13 — reported
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 59.7 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -16.8% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA -9.0% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.6x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The headlines paint a stock whipsawed by narrative rather than steady fundamentals—plunges tied to “automotive sector slumps” followed by surges on Nvidia and Atlas speculation. This volatility, layered atop genuine product news (Tucson’s strong U.S. showing, new EV SUV competition), suggests the market is still searching for a clear read on Hyundai’s tech and EV positioning, which may weigh on near-term price stability even as valuation multiples remain historically undemanding.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings release on 2026-10-29 will be the key checkpoint for whether the recent volatility—shares swung from a 27% plunge to a 15% record-high spike—reflects fundamentals or sentiment. Watch U.S. sales share for the new Tucson (reportedly 24% of July U.S. volume for its segment), any concrete details behind the Nvidia/Atlas speculation, and whether margins hold near 5.5% amid EV/luxury SUV competition from rivals like Rivian. FX-sensitive USD investors should also monitor the won, since Hyundai’s export-heavy model ties earnings translation to currency swings.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Hyundai Motor · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-21 16:01 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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