US Market Report · as of 2026-07-15 NY close
The S&P 500 closed at 7,572.40, up 0.38% on the day. Overall regime call: INFLATION.
|
S&P 500 Close
7,572.40
+0.38% · -0.5% vs peak
|
VIX
15.7
Calm <20
|
USD/KRW
1,486.4
-0.75% · 1M -1.8%
|
Regime
INFLATION
🟢 Entries allowed
|
📝 US Market Wrap
■ Market Overview & Leaders
US benchmarks closed higher for a second straight session, with the S&P 500 up 0.38% to 7,572.40, Nasdaq gaining 0.62% to 26,269.23, and the Dow adding 0.29% to 52,658.64. Mega-cap tech did the heavy lifting: Apple (+4.0%) hit a record high, joined by Oracle (+3.6%), Alphabet (+3.2%), Meta (+3.1%) and Amazon (+3.0%). But the PHLX Semiconductor index told a very different story, tumbling 2.08% to 12,398.89 as Intel (-4.4%), AMD (-3.5%) and Applied Materials (-2.7%) sold off hard — a chip-sector drag likely to weigh on Asian semiconductor names overnight.
■ Flows & Breadth
Breadth was notably weak beneath the index gains: decliners outpaced advancers 22-18 among large caps, underscoring that the rally was narrowly led by a handful of tech giants rather than broad-based buying. VIX fell 5.03% to 15.67, signaling calm overall, while USD/KRW slipped 0.75% to 1,486.45.
■ Takeaway
Headline indices rose, but negative breadth and the semiconductor selloff reveal a fractured market — strength concentrated in select tech winners while chips and industrials struggled. Watch whether chip weakness spreads. 📊
📊 Market Snapshot
| Index | Close | 1D | 5D | 1M | vs Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | 7,572.40 | +0.38% | +1.2% | +1.9% | -0.5% |
| Nasdaq | 26,269.23 | +0.62% | +1.5% | +1.5% | -3.0% |
| Dow | 52,659 | +0.29% | +0.6% | +2.8% | -0.7% |
| PHLX Semiconductor | 12,398.9 | -2.08% | -1.4% | -7.3% | -15.3% |
| VIX | 15.7 | -5.03% | -7.3% | -11.4% | -49.5% |
| USD/KRW | 1,486.4 | -0.75% | -2.2% | -1.8% | -4.4% |
🏷️ Large-Cap Movers (Today)
| Gainers | Chg | Losers | Chg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | +4.0% | Intel | -4.4% |
| Oracle | +3.6% | AMD | -3.5% |
| Alphabet | +3.2% | Applied Materials | -2.7% |
| Meta | +3.1% | Johnson & Johnson | -2.7% |
| Amazon | +3.0% | Caterpillar | -2.0% |
Large-cap breadth: 18 up · 22 down (of 40)
⚠️ The index rose, but decliners outnumbered gainers — a concentration illusion driven by a few mega-caps (Apple, Oracle). The market felt weaker than the index suggests.
🔄 Sector Rotation
| Sector | 1M | 3M | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | -4.4% | +38.6% | 38.9 | Growth |
| Energy | +21.5% | +20.7% | 31.3 | Defensive |
| Real Estate | +7.5% | +25.0% | 12.3 | — |
| Communication Services | +1.5% | +3.1% | 10.6 | Growth |
| Consumer Staples | +9.4% | +18.2% | 6.0 | Defensive |
| Materials | -6.6% | +1.7% | 2.5 | — |
| Utilities | +19.7% | +9.8% | 1.0 | Defensive |
| Industrials | +3.8% | -2.1% | 0.1 | — |
📐 Market Breadth
(40 names)
| Above 200-DMA | Above 50-DMA | Up over 1M | 52-wk highs | 52-wk lows |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70% | 55% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
📰 Headlines
- Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rise; PayPal, IBM, Intel, Micron, ASML, More Movers — Barron’s
- Stock Market Today: Nasdaq, Dow and S&P 500 log back-to-back gains; oil edges up on fresh U.S. Iran strikes; financial stocks score record finish on robust bank earnings — MarketWatch
- Dow Jones| Nasdaq | S&P 500 | US Stock Market Today | Live: US stocks gains as chip stocks pare earlier d… — The Economic Times
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as Apple notches record high — Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Today (July 15, 2026): SpaceX falls below IPO price for first time; Nasdaq, S&P 500 sag — thestreet.com
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slip as semiconductor stocks plummet — Yahoo Finance
- Stock Market Today (July 14, 2026): Nasdaq, S&P 500 rise as tech leads, inflation data surprises — thestreet.com
- Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures extend gains ahead of earnings, wholesale inflation data — Yahoo Finance
🌐 Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | 1M | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y yield | 0.74 | — | — |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | 100.48 | +0.7% | — |
| Gold | 4,069 | -3.5% | — |
| WTI Crude | 79.20 | +0.3% | — |
| Bitcoin | 64,813 | +6.3% | — |
🌡️ Regime & Risk Diagnosis
- Regime call: 인플레이션 (INFLATION) — 경기 성장하나 물가 과열 — 성장주 밸류에이션 압박 (CPI 3.5%)
- Allocation guide: 주식 55% + 대체자산 30% — 에너지·원자재·TIPS·가치주 편입
🎯 System Watchlist
Sectors in focus: Health Care 4 names · Technology 3 names · Consumer Discretionary 3 names · Real Estate 2 names · Industrials 1 names
| Name | Mkt | Sector | Style | Score | Target | Stop | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSIC | US | Health Care | Swing | 100 | +11.2% | -5.6% | Watching |
| SBAC | US | Real Estate | Swing | 90 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Held |
| CSCO | US | Technology | Squeeze | 90 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| ROST | US | Consumer Discretionary | Swing | 90 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Held |
| ODFL | US | Industrials | Swing | 90 | +19.5% | -9.8% | Held |
| TXN | US | Technology | Swing | 90 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| BIIB | US | Health Care | Swing | 80 | +24.6% | -12.3% | Held |
| ULTA | US | Consumer Discretionary | Squeeze | 80 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| ABNB | US | Consumer Discretionary | Swing | 80 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| AKAM | US | Technology | Swing | 80 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| ALGN | US | Health Care | Squeeze | 75 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| HST | US | Real Estate | Swing | 75 | +15.2% | -7.6% | Watching |
🤖 System Trading Status
Closed today:
| Name | Mkt | Exit type | Held | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DXCM | US | ROTATION_EXIT | 9d | -0.22% |
6 open positions — average unrealized P&L +4.26% (4 winning / 2 losing)
Auto-generated report · 2026-07-16 07:11 KST
For information only — not investment advice or a solicitation. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.
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