[Deep Dive] 2026.08.10 Micron Technology (MU) +202% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

MU closed at 861.00, -1.89% on the day and +201.8% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-10

🌐 한국어판 보기

Micron Technology (MU) closed at $861.00, down 1.89% on the day. Year-to-date return is +201.8%, sitting at 66% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-09-23 (in 43 days).

Close
$861.00
-1.89% · YTD +201.8%
Market Cap
$972.41B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
5.6x
PER 19.3x
52-wk Range
66%
High $1,255.00 · Low $113.46

🔍 At a Glance

Micron has been a monster this year — up 201.8% YTD and 105.4% over six months — powered by a memory shortage that has pushed quarterly revenue up 345.7% YoY and lifted TTM operating margin to a stunning 65.7% with ROE at 66.6%. The bull case: a forward PER of just 5.6 against trailing 19.3 suggests the Street expects earnings to keep compounding, and analyst consensus (43 strong-buy ratings, average target $1,501.98) implies enormous further upside. The bear case: the stock is already down 12.1% over the past month, trades 8.3% below its 60-day moving average, and richly valued on PBR (18.0) and PSR (10.8) — metrics that punish any wobble in the memory cycle.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Micron designs and manufactures memory and storage chips — DRAM, NAND, high-bandwidth memory, SSDs — sold across Cloud, Core Data Center, Mobile/Client, and Automotive/Embedded business units. Its fortunes track global memory pricing cycles, and the current AI-driven data center buildout, especially demand for HBM, is the key swing factor behind its margin surge.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $9.30B $2.17B $1.89B 23.3%
25Q3 $11.31B $3.69B $3.20B 32.6%
25Q4 $13.64B $6.14B $5.24B 45.0%
26Q1 $23.86B $16.14B $13.79B 67.6%
26Q2 $41.46B $33.32B $28.24B 80.4%

Latest-quarter revenue up +345.7% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 19.3x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 5.6x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 10.8x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 18.0x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 0.1x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 14.2x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Micron Technology, Inc. $972.41B 19.5x 5.6x 10.8x
SK hynix ₩1,007.99T 3.1x 5.3x
SamsungElec ₩1,510.31T 3.4x 3.1x
Western Digital Corporation $151.09B 18.1x 13.8x 11.7x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $1,501.98
  • Target high / low: $2,200.00 / $361.00
  • Implied upside: +74.4%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.4/5)
  • Analysts covering: 43
  • Next earnings: 2026-09-23
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 40.6 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -8.3% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +60.0% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.6x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The headlines converge on one theme: a persistent memory shortage is the engine behind Micron’s rally, even after the news was seemingly “already known,” suggesting the market is still repricing how long and how severe this cycle will run. Comparisons to SanDisk’s differing fate and fresh institutional buying (Finivi’s new position) reinforce that investors are debating durability versus a cyclical peak — a distinction that will directly shape earnings estimates and the stock’s premium valuation.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The next earnings report on 2026-09-23 will be the key checkpoint for whether the shortage-driven pricing power persists or fades. Watch DRAM/NAND spot pricing trends, HBM capacity commentary, and whether RSI near 40.6 signals further near-term consolidation before any resumption toward the 52-week high zone. A break below the 60-day average trend or signs of customer inventory normalization would be worth confirming against bullish targets as high as $2,200.

Next earnings on 2026-09-23 (in 43 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Micron Technology · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-11 07:26 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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