Daily Korea Market Report · as of 2026-07-21 close
The KOSPI closed at 6,747.95, up 3.56% on the day. It remains -26.0% below its recent peak. Our system’s Korea crash gate is currently blocking new entries — a high-volatility regime. Overall regime call: INFLATION.
|
KOSPI Close
6,747.95
+3.56% · -26.0% vs peak
|
Volatility (20d realized)
78.2
Panic ≥40
|
USD/KRW
1,473.6
-0.93% · 1M -3.8%
|
Regime
INFLATION
🔴 Entries blocked
|
📝 Market Wrap
■ Market Overview & Leaders
KOSPI roared back with a +3.56% surge to 6,747.95, riding the same regional wave that lifted Nikkei 225 (+3.26%) and Taiwan’s TAIEX (+4.20%), while Wall Street lagged with the S&P 500 slipping -0.19%. Samsung C&T (+8.2%) and Samsung Electronics (+6.1%) led the charge, with SK Hynix (+4.1%) reinforcing the tech-heavy rebound narrative. On the downside, S-Oil (-3.5%) and Lotte Chemical (-1.7%) lagged, hinting at sector rotation away from energy/chemicals. KOSDAQ posted a milder +0.50% gain, and the won strengthened to 1,473.58 (-0.93%), a supportive signal for foreign capital.
■ Flows & Breadth
Breadth was constructive but not overwhelming: 25 advancers versus 13 decliners among large caps — a healthy ratio, though notably less lopsided than the headline index gain suggests, underscoring KOSPI’s persistent concentration risk in mega-cap tech and conglomerates. Given recent headlines flagging circuit breakers and bear-market conditions just prior, today’s system risk gate remains active in “block” mode, reflecting a still-elevated volatility regime even amid the rally.
■ Takeaway
While today’s bounce is encouraging, the gap between index strength and breadth — plus an active high-volatility gate — suggests the rebound remains fragile and prone to air-pockets. Foreign investors should treat this as a tactical recovery within a structurally volatile market, worth caution before assuming trend reversal. 📈
📊 Market Snapshot
| Index | Close | 1D | 5D | 1M | vs Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOSPI | 6,747.95 | +3.56% | -0.9% | -25.5% | -26.0% |
| KOSDAQ | 753.36 | +0.50% | -5.8% | -22.1% | -38.6% |
| S&P 500 | 7,443.28 | -0.19% | -1.0% | +0.3% | -2.2% |
| USD/KRW | 1,473.6 | -0.93% | -1.6% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| Nikkei 225 | 66,232 | +3.26% | -1.5% | -7.0% | -8.5% |
| Taiwan TAIEX | 44,233 | +4.20% | -1.1% | -4.8% | -7.3% |
💡 Korea Market 101
🏷️ Large-Cap Movers (Today)
| Gainers | Chg | Losers | Chg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 삼성물산 | +8.2% | S-Oil | -3.5% |
| 삼성전자 | +6.1% | 롯데케미칼 | -1.7% |
| 삼성생명 | +4.8% | KT | -1.5% |
| KCC | +4.5% | LG디스플레이 | -1.3% |
| SK하이닉스 | +4.1% | LG화학 | -1.0% |
Large-cap breadth: 25 up · 13 down (of 40)
💡 Korea Market 101
🔄 Sector Rotation
| Sector | 1M | 3M | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 화학/소재 | -6.4% | -4.5% | 8.9 | Growth |
| 소비재 | -2.1% | -11.1% | 2.6 | Growth |
| 금융 | -9.6% | -13.5% | -2.4 | Defensive |
| 반도체/IT | -21.3% | -21.1% | -6.9 | Growth |
| 방산/산업재 | -6.0% | -20.6% | -12.0 | — |
| 부동산/리츠 | -2.0% | -15.9% | -14.2 | — |
| 자동차 | -6.8% | -25.0% | -15.2 | Growth |
| 통신/인터넷 | -7.9% | -31.5% | -15.5 | Growth |
💡 Korea Market 101
📐 Market Breadth
(40 names)
| Above 200-DMA | Above 50-DMA | Up over 1M | 52-wk highs | 52-wk lows |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 15% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
💡 Korea Market 101
📰 Headlines (English coverage of Korea)
- Why South Korea’s Stock Index Is More Volatile Than Bitcoin — Bloomberg.com
- Korea’s leading fund managers urge calm as Kospi slides into bear market — KED Global
- Wall Street drifts as AI stocks hold steadier after last week’s losses — AP News
- KOSPI Falls Over 4% as Trading Resumes After Holiday, Deepening Bear Market — Yahoo Finance
- KOSPI Fear Starts at Open, 2 p.m. Brings Circuit Breakers — 조선일보
- Kospi to 10,000: South Korean equities poised to rebound after brutal sell-off, says Citi — CNBC
- Nasdaq Could Look to KOSPI for Directional Clues Beyond Earnings — FOREX.com
- South Korea’s debt-heavy market could drive global tech volatility, analysts say — South China Morning Post
💡 Korea Market 101
🌐 Macro Dashboard
| Indicator | Level | 1M | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| US 10Y yield | 0.70 | — | — |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | 120.53 | -0.3% | — |
| Gold | 7,270 | -2.7% | — |
| WTI Crude | 79.20 | +0.3% | — |
| Bitcoin | 25,750 | +10.8% | — |
💡 Korea Market 101
🌡️ Regime & Risk Diagnosis
- Regime call: INFLATION — Inflationary — growth with rising price pressure
- Allocation guide: Tilt toward real assets and value
- Crash gate: 🔴 Blocking new entries
- 5-day index return -6.5% (threshold -8%) · 20-day realized vol 78.2 (threshold 40) — the system automatically resumes new entries once both metrics normalize.
💡 Korea Market 101
🎯 System Watchlist
Sectors in focus: 필수소비재 1 names · 통신/인터넷 1 names · 화학/소재 1 names · 반도체/IT 1 names
| Name | Mkt | Sector | Style | Score | Target | Stop | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 오리온 | KR | 필수소비재 | Swing | 90 | +29.2% | -14.6% | Watching |
| LG유플러스 | KR | 통신/인터넷 | Swing | 90 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| 롯데정밀화학 | KR | 화학/소재 | Swing | 90 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
| 삼영전자공업 | KR | 반도체/IT | Swing | 70 | +20.0% | -10.0% | Watching |
💡 Korea Market 101
🩺 System Health Check
- Risk gate: 🔴 Blocking new entries
- [KR Crash Gate] 실현변동성 20일 78.2 ≥ 40 — 패닉 국면, 신규 진입 차단
- Circuit breaker: 🟢 Normal
- Entry attempts blocked by the gate today: 282
💡 Korea Market 101
🤖 System Trading Status
Closed today:
| Name | Mkt | Exit type | Held | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHN | KR | STOP | 1d | -10.18% |
2 open positions — average unrealized P&L -4.21% (0 winning / 2 losing)
💡 Korea Market 101
Auto-generated report · 2026-07-21 15:51 KST
For information only — not investment advice or a solicitation. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.
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