[Deep Dive] 2026.08.13 Apple (AAPL) +13% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

AAPL closed at 305.26, +1.00% on the day and +12.6% year to date — monthly change bars for this year

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-08-13

🌐 한국어판 보기

Apple (AAPL) closed at $305.26, up 1.00% on the day. Year-to-date return is +12.6%, sitting at 68% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-10-29 (in 76 days).

Close
$305.26
+1.00% · YTD +12.6%
Market Cap
$4,455.02B
Consumer Electronics
Forward P/E
32.1x
PER 34.6x
52-wk Range
68%
High $344.57 · Low $223.78

🔍 At a Glance

Apple sits at $305.26, up 12.6% year-to-date but down 6.7% over the past month, with revenue growth accelerating (+16.4% YoY last quarter) and a 33.2% operating margin that underscores the durability of its ecosystem. Bulls point to the buy-rated consensus (41 analysts, average target 322.28) and strong ROE of 148.8%, while bears note stretched valuation (PER 34.6, PEG 2.5, PBR 60.4) and a recent string of downgrades tied to product-cycle doubts.

🏢 How It Makes Money

Apple’s engine remains iPhone hardware paired with a fast-growing services layer — App Store, AppleCare, cloud, and subscriptions like Apple Arcade — supplemented by Mac, iPad, and wearables. The high-margin services mix is central to sustaining the 33%+ operating margin even as hardware cycles fluctuate.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $94.04B $28.20B $23.43B 30.0%
25Q3 $102.47B $32.43B $27.47B 31.6%
25Q4 $143.76B $50.85B $42.10B 35.4%
26Q1 $111.18B $35.88B $29.58B 32.3%
26Q2 $109.42B $35.70B $29.79B 32.6%

Latest-quarter revenue up +16.4% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 34.6x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 32.1x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 9.5x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 60.4x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 2.5x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 26.4x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
Apple Inc. $4,455.02B 34.9x 32.1x 9.5x
Microsoft Corporation $3,689.61B 27.7x 21.1x 11.1x
Alphabet Inc. $4,235.96B 17.4x 23.5x 9.5x
SamsungElec ₩1,759.84T 4.0x 3.6x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $322.28
  • Target high / low: $400.00 / $215.00
  • Implied upside: +5.6%
  • Rating: Buy (2.1/5)
  • Analysts covering: 41
  • Next earnings: 2026-10-29
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 29.6 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -1.2% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +9.1% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.7x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

How to read these headlines

The common thread is a wave of analyst downgrades — Jefferies among them — triggered by supply-chain checks suggesting Apple canceled a planned all-glass “anniversary” iPhone, raising doubts about the iPhone 18 launch’s differentiation and upgrade appeal. Since iPhone remains Apple’s largest single revenue driver, any diminished excitement around the next flagship could pressure unit growth and, by extension, the premium valuation multiples (PER 34.6, EV/EBITDA 26.4) investors currently pay. The post-earnings sell-off commentary reinforces that sentiment is fragile right now, making the upcoming design and launch narrative worth confirming closely.

Headlines are credited to their publishers — click a headline to open the original article. The commentary is written by this site and does not represent the views of any publisher.

💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

The stock trades 9.1% above its 200-day average but just -1.2% versus the 60-day line, and RSI at 29.6 suggests near-term oversold conditions after the pullback. Watch the next earnings date, 2026-10-29, for updated iPhone 18 cycle commentary; a rebound above MA60 would support the bull case, while continued erosion toward the 215 analyst low may confirm bear concerns. Confirm actual supply-chain details behind the all-glass iPhone cancellation reports before drawing conclusions.

Next earnings on 2026-10-29 (in 76 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on Apple · Market report for this session

Stock report · published 2026-08-14 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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