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[US Close] 2026.07.20 S&P 500 flat (-0.2%) — Market Wrap

US Market Report · as of 2026-07-20 NY close

🌐 한국어판 보기

The S&P 500 closed at 7,443.28, down 0.19% on the day. Overall regime call: INFLATION.

S&P 500 Close
7,443.28
-0.19% · -2.2% vs peak
VIX
18.6
Calm <20
USD/KRW
1,475.3
-0.24% · 1M -4.0%
Regime
INFLATION
🟢 Entries allowed

📝 US Market Wrap

■ Market Overview & Leaders

US stocks closed mostly lower Monday as Middle East tensions and rising oil prices weighed on sentiment. The Dow slid -0.59% to 51,839.26 for its third straight losing session, while the S&P 500 eased -0.19% to 7,443.28. The Nasdaq was roughly flat at 25,508.07 (-0.05%), holding up better thanks to chip strength. The PHLX Semiconductor index jumped +0.60% to 11,743.85, lifting names like Intel (+2.1%), Broadcom (+2.0%) and AMD (+1.6%) as investors positioned ahead of Big Tech earnings. Microsoft (+2.2%) also outperformed, while Oracle (-4.0%), Tesla (-3.0%) and healthcare heavyweights Eli Lilly (-2.7%) and Merck (-2.4%) dragged.

■ Flows & Breadth

Breadth was negative, with large-caps splitting 16 up / 24 down — a clear sign the modest index-level moves masked broader softness beneath the surface. VIX slipped -0.64% to 18.65, suggesting contained volatility despite geopolitical headlines. USD/KRW eased -0.24% to 1,475.35.

■ Takeaway

The SOX’s resilience continues to prop up Nasdaq sentiment and should support Asian chip peers overnight, even as broader indices and breadth point to underlying caution amid oil-driven geopolitical risk. 📉

📊 Market Snapshot

Index Close 1D 5D 1M vs Peak
S&P 500 7,443.28 -0.19% -1.0% +0.3% -2.2%
Nasdaq 25,508.07 -0.05% -1.4% -2.0% -5.9%
Dow 51,839 -0.59% -1.3% +0.7% -2.3%
PHLX Semiconductor 11,743.8 +0.60% -4.9% -12.9% -19.8%
VIX 18.6 -0.64% +8.7% +1.1% -39.9%
USD/KRW 1,475.3 -0.24% -1.5% -4.0% -5.1%
💡 Korea Market 101
Alongside the majors, we track the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) — the overnight driver of Korean chipmakers like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. A big SOX move often sets the tone for the next KOSPI session. VIX under 20 is calm; above 30 signals fear.

3-month index chart

🏷️ Large-Cap Movers (Today)

Gainers Chg Losers Chg
Microsoft +2.2% Oracle -4.0%
Intel +2.1% Tesla -3.0%
Broadcom +2.0% Eli Lilly -2.7%
Salesforce +1.8% Merck -2.4%
AMD +1.6% GE Aerospace -2.2%

Large-cap breadth: 16 up · 24 down (of 40)

💡 Korea Market 101
Today’s biggest US large-cap moves. US sector rotation frequently leads the Korean market by a day — watching where money flows here gives a preview of tomorrow’s Seoul session.

🔄 Sector Rotation

Sector 1M 3M Score Type
Technology +5.9% +51.9% 49.4 Growth
Utilities +0.0% +15.1% 27.9 Defensive
Real Estate +2.9% +17.3% 12.4
Industrials +16.8% +22.4% 8.7
Health Care +3.6% +8.8% 7.7 Defensive
Financials +6.7% +5.4% 5.5 Defensive
Consumer Staples +7.1% +2.5% 0.1 Defensive
Consumer Discretionary +7.3% -1.9% -0.4 Growth
💡 Korea Market 101
A ranking of where money is flowing across industries. A higher score means stronger recent price action. ‘Growth’ sectors (chips, IT) lead in good times; ‘Defensive’ sectors (telecom, staples) hold up in downturns. When defensives cluster at the top, the market has turned cautious.

📐 Market Breadth

(40 names)

Above 200-DMA Above 50-DMA Up over 1M 52-wk highs 52-wk lows
70% 52% 52% 0% 0%
💡 Korea Market 101
What the index alone hides. ‘% above 200-DMA’ is the share of stocks in a long-term uptrend — below 50% means most stocks are in long-term decline even if the index isn’t. Comparing new 52-week highs vs lows reveals whether it’s truly a bull or bear tape underneath the headline number.

📰 Headlines

  • Stock Market Today: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Edge Higher; Oil Prices in Focus as Mideast Conflict Continues — Live Updates — WSJ
  • Stock Market News July 20, 2026: Dow ends lower for third straight losing session, S&P 500 finishes lower, Nasdaq wipes out early gains as chip rebound fades and Middle East tensions simmer — MarketWatch
  • Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq mixed as chip stocks rise in wait for Big Tech earnings — Yahoo Finance
  • S&P 500 closes slightly lower on Monday, weighed down by rising oil prices — CNBC
  • Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq 100 Futures Gain as Trump Says Iran is ‘Very, Very Badly Damaged — Benzinga
  • Stock Market Today: Major Indexes Mixed to Begin Week; Dow, S&P 500 Slip, Nasdaq Gains; Oil Rises as Trump Says Iran ‘Will Pay’ for Killing Soldiers — Investopedia
  • Stock Market News for Monday, July 20, 2026: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall; Oil Pares Gains — Barron’s
  • Markets News, July 17, 2026: Major Stock Indexes Close Lower, Post Weekly Losses; Oil Prices Surge as Middle East Fighting Escalates — Investopedia
💡 Korea Market 101
English-language coverage of the Korean market. Two Korea-specific terms worth knowing: a ‘circuit breaker’ halts all trading when the index moves too fast, and a ‘sidecar’ briefly suspends program trading — both are exchange safety mechanisms you’ll see mentioned on volatile days.

🌐 Macro Dashboard

Indicator Level 1M Signal
US 10Y yield 0.70
Dollar Index (DXY) 120.53 -0.3%
Gold 4,011 -8.0%
WTI Crude 79.20 +0.3%
Bitcoin 65,152 +8.3%
💡 Korea Market 101
The bigger picture around equities. A rising US 10-year yield raises borrowing costs and pressures stocks. A stronger dollar (higher DXY) tends to pull foreign capital out of emerging markets like Korea. Gold is the fear gauge, oil proxies inflation, and Bitcoin reflects risk appetite.

🌡️ Regime & Risk Diagnosis

  • Regime call: INFLATION — Inflationary — growth with rising price pressure
  • Allocation guide: Tilt toward real assets and value
💡 Korea Market 101
Think of the ‘regime’ as market weather. RISK-OFF means investors are sheltering in cash rather than risk assets. ‘Realized volatility’ is a thermometer for how wildly prices swing — under 20 is calm, above 40 is panic territory. The ‘crash gate’ is our system’s traffic light: when the Korean market falls too fast, it turns red and the system stops buying on its own, then reopens automatically when conditions settle. (Note: the regime diagnosis text is produced in Korean by the engine.)

🎯 System Watchlist

Sectors in focus: Health Care 5 names · Technology 4 names · Consumer Discretionary 3 names · Real Estate 2 names · Industrials 1 names

Name Mkt Sector Style Score Target Stop Status
HSIC US Health Care Swing 100 +11.2% -5.6% Watching
AMGN US Health Care Swing 100 +17.0% -8.5% Held
ZBRA US Technology Swing 100 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
SBAC US Real Estate Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Held
CSCO US Technology Squeeze 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
ROST US Consumer Discretionary Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Held
ODFL US Industrials Swing 90 +19.5% -9.8% Held
AVGO US Technology Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
STLD US Materials Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
CHTR US Communication Services Squeeze 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
ULTA US Consumer Discretionary Squeeze 80 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
ABNB US Consumer Discretionary Swing 80 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
💡 Korea Market 101
A scanner screens hundreds of Korean and US stocks daily and scores them on technical and fundamental criteria (max 100). ‘Target’ is the expected gain if the setup works; ‘Stop’ is the pre-committed maximum loss if it doesn’t — the system always defines the exit before entering. ‘Swing’ rides multi-day trends; ‘Squeeze’ waits for dormant stocks to break out. ‘Watching’ means signal registered but not bought; ‘Held’ means the system actually owns it. ⚠️ This is an algorithm’s candidate list, not investment advice. Korean stock names are shown in Korean.

🤖 System Trading Status

Closed today:

Name Mkt Exit type Held P&L
BIIB US ROTATION_EXIT 7d -1.17%

7 open positions — average unrealized P&L +4.67% (5 winning / 2 losing)

Open positions P&L chart

💡 Korea Market 101
‘Closed’ = sold; ‘open’ = still held. Unrealized P&L assumes selling right now — nothing is locked in until sold. ‘STOP’ means the pre-set safety line was hit and the system sold automatically; ‘ROTATION_EXIT’ means it swapped into a stronger candidate. The one rule this system lives by: cut losses early and automatically, let winners run.

Auto-generated report · 2026-07-21 07:16 KST
For information only — not investment advice or a solicitation. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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