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[Deep Dive] 2026.07.20 NVIDIA (NVDA) +9% YTD — Fundamentals, Valuation & Outlook

Stock Deep Dive · 2026-07-20

🌐 한국어판 보기

NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at $203.28, up 0.23% on the day. Year-to-date return is +9.1%, sitting at 54% of its 52-week range. Next earnings: 2026-08-27 (in 36 days).

Close
$203.28
+0.23% · YTD +9.1%
Market Cap
$4,923.64B
Semiconductors
Forward P/E
15.8x
PER 30.8x
52-wk Range
54%
High $236.54 · Low $164.07

🔍 At a Glance

NVIDIA keeps flexing best-in-class numbers — 85.2% quarterly revenue growth, a 64% operating margin, and a jaw-dropping 114.3% ROE — with 58 analysts still calling it strong_buy and an average target of 302.31, well above today’s 203.28. Yet the stock has been essentially flat since November despite tripling net income, and a PBR above 31 alongside PSR near 19 leaves little room for error if AI demand growth ever cools.

🏢 How It Makes Money

NVIDIA’s Compute & Networking segment — data center accelerated computing, networking platforms, and AI software/solutions — is the primary engine behind the TTM revenue of $253.49B, supplemented by automotive and autonomous vehicle platforms. The Graphics segment, spanning GeForce gaming GPUs and NVIDIA RTX/Quadro workstation cards, rounds out sales to OEMs, cloud service providers, system integrators, and distributors worldwide.

📈 Quarterly Results — Is Business Growing?

Quarter Revenue Op. Income Net Income Op. Margin
25Q2 $44.06B $21.64B $18.77B 49.1%
25Q3 $46.74B $28.44B $26.42B 60.8%
25Q4 $57.01B $36.01B $31.91B 63.2%
26Q1 $68.13B $44.30B $42.96B 65.0%
26Q2 $81.61B $53.54B $58.32B 65.6%

Latest-quarter revenue up +85.2% versus the same quarter a year ago.

Quarterly revenue and income chart

💡 Korea Market 101
A company posts a report card every quarter; this table lines them up in order. Revenue is everything it sold; operating income is what’s left after costs — the true profit from the core business. Steadily rising numbers mean the business is working, and an expanding operating margin is an even better sign. Over time, stock prices tend to follow these report cards.

⚖️ Valuation — Cheap or Expensive?

Metric Value How to read it
P/E (trailing) 30.8x Price vs last 12 months’ earnings
P/E (forward) 15.8x Price vs next 12 months’ expected earnings — growth hopes baked in
P/S 19.4x Price vs revenue — for high-growth names with thin profits
P/B 31.3x Price vs book value — below 1x means priced under liquidation value
PEG 0.6x P/E ÷ growth — near 1 is fair for the growth; above 2 is demanding
EV/EBITDA 29.4x Enterprise value (incl. debt) vs cash generation

Peer comparison

Name Mkt Cap P/E Fwd P/E P/S
NVIDIA Corporation $4,923.64B 31.1x 15.8x 19.4x
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. $821.12B 166.7x 37.4x 21.9x
Broadcom Inc. $1,799.13B 62.9x 19.5x 23.8x
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactur $2,086.52B 30.1x 18.9x 0.5x
💡 Korea Market 101
Cheap or expensive is judged by multiples of earnings, not the share price itself. A P/E of 20 means you pay 20 years of current profits for the company. Fast growers earn high multiples — but when growth cracks, the multiple breaks first. That’s why the peer table matters: if one name is far pricier than its rivals, check whether its growth actually justifies the premium.

🎯 Street Consensus

  • Price target (mean): $302.31
  • Target high / low: $500.00 / $180.00
  • Implied upside: +48.7%
  • Rating: Strong Buy (1.3/5)
  • Analysts covering: 58
  • Next earnings: 2026-08-27
💡 Korea Market 101
The average of sell-side analysts’ 12-month price forecasts. A target far above the current price doesn’t guarantee upside — sometimes the stock just fell faster than analysts cut their numbers. The direction of target revisions matters more than the level, and more analysts means a more reliable consensus.

📉 Price Action — Technical Check

1-year price chart with 50/200-day moving averages

Indicator Value How to read it
RSI (14d) 57.5 Above 70 overbought · below 30 oversold
vs 60-day MA -2.7% Above/below the medium-term trend
vs 200-day MA +5.7% Above/below the long-term trend
Golden/death cross 50-day above 200-day (bullish alignment) 50-day MA crossing above (golden) or below (death) the 200-day
Volume (vs 20d avg) 0.6x 2x+ means a spike in market attention
💡 Korea Market 101
Fundamentals tell you what the company is; technicals tell you how the market is treating the stock right now. Above the 50- and 200-day moving averages = uptrend; below = downtrend. RSI is a short-term heat gauge — above 70, the stock has run hot and may need to cool off. Even great companies keep falling in the middle of a downtrend, so this helps with the timing question.

📰 Recent News

  • Why Nvidia Stock is Flat Since November Despite Tripling Its Net Income — Yahoo Finance
  • Why cheap Chinese AI models could actually be a boon for Nvidia, Micron and other chip stocks — MarketWatch
  • SPCX Stock Rises Overnight Even As Elon Musk Shoots Down Report Of $52B Foxconn-Nvidia Order As ‘Fake News’ — Stocktwits
  • Why Nvidia briefly lost its crown as the world’s most valuable company — marketplace.org
  • NVIDIA & Micron: 2 Profitable AI Stocks With Strong Growth Potential — Zacks Investment Research
  • NVIDIA Corporation $NVDA Stock Holdings Lowered by Ibex Wealth Advisors — MarketBeat
💡 Korea Market 101
Recent headlines on this name. Earnings, product launches, big contracts, and lawsuits are the catalysts that move the stock.

🔭 Scenarios & What to Watch

Shares sit at 54% of their 52-week range, trading 5.7% above the 200-day average but 2.7% below the 60-day line — a tug-of-war reflected in a neutral-leaning RSI of 57.5. Headlines around cheaper Chinese AI models and unconfirmed Foxconn order chatter could sway sentiment either way; a favorable read may support demand narratives, while confusion or a demand slowdown may weigh on shares. The next earnings report on 2026-08-27 is the key catalyst — confirming whether triple-digit growth rates persist is worth confirming before drawing conclusions.

Next earnings on 2026-08-27 (in 36 days) — guidance usually decides the stock’s direction more than the reported quarter.

💡 Korea Market 101
These scenarios are if-then conditions, not predictions. The investor’s job isn’t to guess right — it’s to check, at each earnings report, which side’s conditions are actually coming true.

📚 All stock analysis · More on NVIDIA · Market report for this session

Auto-generated stock report · 2026-07-21 07:25 KST
For information only — a summary of public data, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Source data (Yahoo Finance and others) may be delayed or contain errors. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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