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[US Close] 2026.07.14 Market Wrap & System Report

US Market Report · as of 2026-07-14 NY close

The S&P 500 closed at 7,543.59, up 0.38% on the day. Overall regime call: INFLATION.

S&P 500 Close
7,543.59
+0.38% · -0.9% vs peak
VIX
16.5
Calm <20
USD/KRW
1,487.3
-0.69% · 1M -1.7%
Regime
INFLATION
🟢 Entries allowed

📊 Market Snapshot

Index Close 1D 5D 1M vs Peak
S&P 500 7,543.59 +0.38% +0.5% +2.0% -0.9%
Nasdaq 26,107.01 +0.90% +1.1% +1.2% -3.6%
Dow 52,508 +0.02% -0.8% +3.3% -1.0%
PHLX Semiconductor 12,661.9 +2.54% +2.9% -3.9% -13.5%
VIX 16.5 -3.85% +2.3% -15.1% -46.9%
USD/KRW 1,487.3 -0.69% -2.1% -1.7% -4.3%
💡 Korea Market 101 — Alongside the majors, we track the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) — the overnight driver of Korean chipmakers like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. A big SOX move often sets the tone for the next KOSPI session. VIX under 20 is calm; above 30 signals fear.

chart_kospi

🏷️ Large-Cap Movers (Today)

Gainers Chg Losers Chg
Intel +4.5% Adobe -4.3%
NVIDIA +4.1% Qualcomm -3.2%
Applied Materials +3.5% Oracle -2.7%
AMD +2.6% Merck -2.6%
JPMorgan Chase +2.5% Intuit -2.5%

Large-cap breadth: 17 up · 23 down (of 40)

⚠️ The index rose, but decliners outnumbered gainers — a concentration illusion driven by a few mega-caps (Intel, NVIDIA). The market felt weaker than the index suggests.

💡 Korea Market 101 — Today’s biggest US large-cap moves. US sector rotation frequently leads the Korean market by a day — watching where money flows here gives a preview of tomorrow’s Seoul session.

📰 Headlines

  • Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Futures Rise on Better-Than-Expected CPI Data—Tower Semicond — Benzinga
  • Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq rise as Fed rate-hike bets ease, chip stocks rally — Yahoo Finance
  • Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq fall as chip stocks tumble, oil surges on US-Iran tensions — Yahoo Finance
  • Stocks end lower as oil prices surge on renewed Hormuz tensions, SK Hynix leads chip stock sell-off — CNBC
  • Markets News, July 13, 2026: Major Indexes End Lower as Chip Stocks Drop; Oil Prices Soar as Trump Says US Reinstating Strait of Hormuz Blockade — Investopedia
  • Stock Market News for Monday, July 13, 2026: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Fall; Micron, SK Hynix, Nvidia, Intel, More Movers — Barron’s
  • Dow Jones| Nasdaq | S&P 500 | US Stock Market Today | Live: US stocks rise on cooler inflation data, big … — The Economic Times
  • Stock Market Today (July 14, 2026): Nasdaq, S&P 500 rise as tech leads, inflation data surprises — thestreet.com
💡 Korea Market 101 — English-language coverage of the Korean market. Two Korea-specific terms worth knowing: a ‘circuit breaker’ halts all trading when the index moves too fast, and a ‘sidecar’ briefly suspends program trading — both are exchange safety mechanisms you’ll see mentioned on volatile days.

🌡️ Regime & Risk Diagnosis

  • Regime call: 인플레이션 (INFLATION) — 경기 성장하나 물가 과열 — 성장주 밸류에이션 압박 (수익률곡선 정상 +0.73%p, CPI 3.5%, VIX 17.2)
  • Allocation guide: 주식 55% + 대체자산 30% — 에너지·원자재·TIPS·가치주 편입
💡 Korea Market 101 — Think of the ‘regime’ as market weather. RISK-OFF means investors are sheltering in cash rather than risk assets. ‘Realized volatility’ is a thermometer for how wildly prices swing — under 20 is calm, above 40 is panic territory. The ‘crash gate’ is our system’s traffic light: when the Korean market falls too fast, it turns red and the system stops buying on its own, then reopens automatically when conditions settle. (Note: the regime diagnosis text is produced in Korean by the engine.)

🎯 System Watchlist

Sectors in focus: Health Care 5 names · Technology 4 names · Consumer Discretionary 3 names · Real Estate 1 names · Industrials 1 names

Name Mkt Sector Style Score Target Stop Status
HSIC US Health Care Swing 100 +11.2% -5.6% Watching
DXCM US Health Care Swing 90 +24.1% -12.0% Held
MCHP US Technology Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Held
SBAC US Real Estate Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Held
CSCO US Technology Squeeze 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
ROST US Consumer Discretionary Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Held
ODFL US Industrials Swing 90 +19.5% -9.8% Held
TXN US Technology Swing 90 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
BIIB US Health Care Swing 80 +24.6% -12.3% Held
ULTA US Consumer Discretionary Squeeze 80 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
LITE US Technology Swing 80 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
ABNB US Consumer Discretionary Swing 80 +20.0% -10.0% Watching
💡 Korea Market 101 — A scanner screens hundreds of Korean and US stocks daily and scores them on technical and fundamental criteria (max 100). ‘Target’ is the expected gain if the setup works; ‘Stop’ is the pre-committed maximum loss if it doesn’t — the system always defines the exit before entering. ‘Swing’ rides multi-day trends; ‘Squeeze’ waits for dormant stocks to break out. ‘Watching’ means signal registered but not bought; ‘Held’ means the system actually owns it. ⚠️ This is an algorithm’s candidate list, not investment advice. Korean stock names are shown in Korean.

🤖 System Trading Status

No positions closed today.

8 open positions — average unrealized P&L +2.31% (6 winning / 2 losing)

chart_positions

💡 Korea Market 101 — ‘Closed’ = sold; ‘open’ = still held. Unrealized P&L assumes selling right now — nothing is locked in until sold. ‘STOP’ means the pre-set safety line was hit and the system sold automatically; ‘ROTATION_EXIT’ means it swapped into a stronger candidate. The one rule this system lives by: cut losses early and automatically, let winners run.

Auto-generated report · 2026-07-15 08:18 KST
For information only — not investment advice or a solicitation. All investment decisions are your own responsibility.

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